The image of Alberto Fernández begins to fall: what are the reasons?

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Although the valuation of the population is still high, the positive image of the head of state began to show a decline in the last days.

The emergence of the coronavirus in the daily life of the Argentines promoted between March and April the positive image of President Alberto Fernández to historical values ​​as a consequence of the strong support of the sanitary measures adopted to contain the pandemic.

However, a few days before the beginning of May there was a breaking point and the assessment that people have of the head of state began to decline, slowly but steadily. This raises doubts among pollsters as to how long this phenomenon will occur and how much it will decline.

The coincidence includes consultants and analysts closest to Kirchnerism, others who worked for Macrism and who worked alternately for different political forces.

According to Ricardo Rouvier, director of Rouvier & Asociados, the fall in the image of the President “is influenced by the extension of quarantine and domiciliary”.

The consultant, who worked for years for the Kirchner government and now continues to bring his studies closer to that space, presented the most current survey, this Tuesday. This is a national survey of 1,200 cases, between April 28 and May 3. The summary of conclusions begins, highlighting precisely the fall in the images.

“The extension of the quarantine and the communicational cataract around the issue of access to the benefit of home imprisonment by certain detainees, had their effects on the image and popularity of the leadership,” said the survey.

In addition, according to the measurement of the consulting firm Rouvier & Asociados, “the positive presidential rating stopped its growth rate, although it still maintains the first place in the image table.”

“Although there are other leaders who have improved, such as Horacio Rodríguez Larreta, they have not done so in such a way that they can displace Alberto Fernández,” he added.

For her part, former President Cristina Kirchner “decreases slightly in her positive rating, with negative growth, while Governor Axel Kicillof remains stable.”

The survey highlighted that the evaluation of the national government’s management has also dropped a few points.

“The questioning of the measures on the release of prisoners to serve house arrest generated a negative reaction. Beyond the fact that these decisions are within the judicial sphere, public opinion understands that there is a government initiative on this matter,” he concluded.

According to de Rouvier’s work, the image of Alberto Fernández combines 67.6% of positive evaluation (43.9% of “good” and “very good”, and 23.7% of “fair good”) with 30.7 % negative (18.5% “bad” and “very bad”, and 12.2% “fair bad”).

The balance is highly in their favor, but it was shrinking from the peak it had in March, with + 68.6% and -29.3%. Something similar happened with the view of the Government’s management: in one month, the positive weight fell from 692% to 66.9% and the negative weight rose from 29.5% to 31.2%.

For its part, the latest work by Poliarquía, a consulting firm historically linked to Macrism but which did work for Peronism efforts as well, warns of a drop in the way people see the President handling the health crisis. It is a national survey of 2,398 cases, between April 17 and 23.

In this way, in one week the approval “of what Alberto Fernández is doing in relation to the coronavirus” dropped (from 84 to 80 points). It also lowered seven points, from 79 to 72, the positive evaluation of “the actions of the Government to prevent the advance” of the pandemic.

“And the image of the President, in the last week, lost three points. But it is still very high,” warns Clarín, the director of consulting firm Alejandro Catterberg. And it makes an interesting qualitative analysis of how Fernández’s weighting evolved since he took office and then with the arrival of the Covid-19.

Meanwhile, a survey carried out by Synopsis shows its latest image data of Alberto Fernández, with 53.1% positive, 24.7% negative and 21.6% neutral (complete 0.6% of ns / nc) .

According to Synopsis data, the President was 42% positive and 37.4% negative in the pre-coronovirus era, beginning of March. At the end of that month it hit a peak (59.1% positive and 19.8% negative) and closed April with a six point drop. The reasons? This says Romero:

“As a general framework, I would say that with the passage of time, margins were opened for a critical look at what the Government did to manage the crisis. When an external threat appears, it always occurs in solidarity with sufferers of a phenomenon of national union. We lined up behind who protects us. The Commander-in-Chief. And in this case, the Commander-in-Chief reacted so that we felt happy, because he took the most protective measures he could take, “said the job.

Along these lines, the survey highlights that “as we get familiar with the threat, we get to know it, we lose a bit of fear. And this allows us to start looking more critically at what the person defending us is doing And I think that enabled the possibility that Alberto Fernández suffered a certain wear due to how he is managing this crisis. “

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