“Quarantine is not lifted, it will change phase”

Pedro Cahn, infectologist and advisor to the Ministry of Health, assures that the current cause of the coronavirus pandemic does not rise after Easter

The infectologist Pedro Cahn, a reference in the fight with HIV / AIDS, and adviser to the Presidency of the Nation in the face of the coronavirus pandemic, He spoke about the current, albeit dynamic, panorama that Argentina has against the Covid-19.

Cahn commented on how he believes the quarantine will continue after Easter: “Quarantine does not rise. In any case it changes phase“and explains that”surely the bookstore next to your house will open, but you will have to queue to enter, as you do now in the supermarket or the pharmacy. Crowds are not going to be allowed. The social distance of one and a half meters will be maintained, and the recommendations for hand washing, coughing in the elbow crease, ventilating the rooms, cleaning the surfaces. “

As for the risk groups for the coronavirus, Pedro Cahn pointed out to Tiempo Argentino that “They are going to have to wait, they are going to have to be progressive. In the best case, those under 60 will go back to work and we’ll see what happens with transportation and the rest. “

Regarding how they evaluate the results of the quarantine carried out so far, Pedro Cahn maintains that “one of the fundamental objectives of this quarantine was to gain time to allow the health system have the right equipment to meet the high demand that may occur. That is: hospitalization and intensive care beds, respirators, personal protective equipment for health personnel, diagnostic kits. And also training and hiring of human resources. They are a lot of situations. Without quarantine the same thing would have happened to us as to Italy or Spain. “

On the parameters of the progression of the coronavirus and what data should be analyzed, the epidemiologist says that “The death toll is one piece of information and the occupation of beds in therapy is another. The Muñiz Hospital, which is the first to be filled according to what the City government ordered, does not have all its intensive care beds occupied. So that 5% of seriously ill patients requiring intensive care is obviously not that big “and affirms that” we are in no way overwhelmed. Anyway, you always have to be careful: I am telling you this today and perhaps when it is published it is already old. “

On the number of infected that rises exponentially, Pedro Cahn states that “we are going to detect new infections, because there are a number of asymptomatic that they are able to infect, and on the other, because more kits have entered and we have more possibilities of diagnosing. But it is one thing for young people to become infected who, in 99% of cases, may have at most a flu-like illness that will temporarily give them fever without endangering their lives. Once they are cured, they will have antibodies and then they will not receive or transmit. The fact that there are more patients is not necessarily bad because we will isolate each positive we detect “and it stops infecting.

Pedro Cahn also referred to the health crisis in Italy, “Part of the explanation for what happened in Italy is that that country suffered a fierce fiscal adjustment in the last decade. and 37 thousand jobs were lost in the health teams. If you weaken the state, you will be less prepared to face any threat of this type. “

On how is the Argentine health system to face the coronavirus, Pedro Cahn maintains that “he was very resentful during the previous administration due to the adjustment, If he did not advance further, it was due to the resistance of the workers in the area. Luckily it began to reverse when Ginés seized the ministry. Although this pandemic falls as a gift at a time when we have enough cases of dengue and also measles circulating. Things that stem from a weakening of the vaccination programs, in the case of measles, and from an insufficient preparation of the population against dengue. “

Regarding the controversy that arose during the week regarding the use by the State of private health supplies, Cahn explains that “the health system is public, with public and private providers”, and clarifies that “in an emergency, it is necessary to coordinate, for example, that the private system does not occupy beds with cosmetic surgeries or other scheduled ones that can wait. A pregnant woman at term obviously has to be admitted, or if someone has peritonitis You have to operate. That type of coordination was discussed. “

“But a series of absurd and ill-intentioned versions of expropriations that no one had thought of began to run. I think it was done to alleviate that middle-class sector that pays a high fee in prepaid medical institutions already the one they want to threaten saying that they are going to take away the bed that they might need. On the contrary, what can happen is that, since there is a high demand in CABA for beds from the private sector, it may be filled at some point and that need beds from the public sector. So, someone who pays 25 thousand pesos per month is going to need a public hospital, because his prepaid cannot offer him a bed in a sanatorium, “adds the member of the Committee of Experts that advises the Executive.

Finally, he referred to the psychosis that excess information generates in the population, Cahn says “it is very difficult for people to relax with seven news channels that for 24 hours show corpses and count dead. There is a level of informational intoxication, which the WHO itself called an ‘infodemic’, that is not good for people. “

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